Another day, another new poll that is giving us a completely different result. Previous polls have shown Hillary and Trump trading leads. The difference now is that the Republican Convention has taken place. Did Trump get the traditional post convention bump?
Donald Trump gets a small boost in support across the battleground states coming out of his convention: he is at 42 percent support now, up from 40 percent heading in, and it now pushes him slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton, who remains unchanged at 41 percent.
Republicans in the battleground states liked what they saw, much more so than independents, as the continued closeness of the contest and this limited movement – even after a convention – is another example of how staunch partisanship is both defining and constraining this race. Voters in this study were re-interviewed and had also registered their preferences before the convention. The vote change – such as it is – comes almost entirely from a handful of those voters who were undecided or unsure last week, and not from a conversion of voters who were previously with Clinton; Clinton’s support remains the same despite so much of the convention’s rhetorical focus on her and the Democrats.
What are your thoughts? Can Trump sustain this?
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