The clock is ticking, and the available delegates are dwindling down.
New York’s primary is seldom an important primary State, but this late in the game it proved to be crucial. Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton both dominated NY’s primary, and with it, essentially ended the race.
Let’s look at the statistics thus far:
Trump is leading both Republicans and Democrats this year.
** More primary wins than any candidate (18)
** More overall state wins than any candidate (21)
** The highest percentage of primary wins (82%)
** The highest percent of overall state wins (64%)
** The highest percent of primary delegates (68%)
** The highest percent of overall delegates (60%)
** And Trump now leads all candidates in the highest percent of overall votes (58%).
So what do the numbers at this point in time say? With 559 delegates of the 1,237 needed to secure the nomination and with 733 delegates still available, Cruz needs to win nearly 93% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination before the RNC.
But when you need to win 93% of the delegates to secure the nomination, that number is bound to eclipse 100% as the primaries wind down. So when will Cruz be officially mathematically eliminated by the race?
As noted earlier Cruz will not only be mathematically eliminated from obtaining enough delegates to win the election outright by April 26th, he will have fallen to third place in popularity too.
Cruz needs two out of every three delegates next Tuesday to stay alive but he is way behind Trump in polling and currently in 3rd place in some of these states and therefore will be done Tuesday per data from RCP.
On the other side of the aisle, Hillary can now lose all of the remaining primaries and still clinch the nomination.
There’s still the possibility (and by the way things are going, inevitability) of a contested convention, but even if that’s the case, Trump is still projected to score roughly 1,400 delegates.
Do you think Cruz will drop out, or aim for a victory in the event of a contested convention? Let us know your thoughts in the comments and share this post on Facebook and Twitter.
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