There are some pretty ridiculous “studies” out there funded by our tax dollars, but the results of one particular Harvard study are well worth the cost, in my opinion.
The findings? That the 4th of July – Independence Day – makes people more likely to rally their support behind the GOP.
The study, published back in 2011, was titled “Shaping the nation: The Effect of Forth of July on Political Preferences and Behavior in the United States” and found that
Days without rain on Fourth of July in childhood shift adult views and voting in favor of the Republicans and increase turnout in presidential elections. The effects we estimate are highly persistent throughout life and originate in early age.
The “days without rain” part is referencing the fact that the holiday is less likely to be celebrated on a rainy day. The study concluded:
“One Fourth of July without rain before age 18 increases the likelihood of identifying as a Republican at age 40 by 2 percent, the share of people voting for the Republican candidate at age 40 by 4 percent, and the share of people turning out to vote at age 40 by 0.9 percent.”
H/T: Harvard University
By contrast, the study found that there’s no evidence that children attending July 4th celebrating makes them more likely to vote Democrat in the future.
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