Just a few days ago, a number of respectable outlets reported on an alliance between Ted Cruz and John Kasich to stop Donald Trump. Since neither of the two can mathematically reach 1,237 delegates before the Republican National Convention, it would make sense that the two would collude to force a contested convention.
Well, it turns out that more than one journalist forgot to actually confirm the existence of this alliance.
“I recognize that the media is all eager to talk about an alliance. There is no alliance,” Mr. Cruz said. “Kasich and I made a determination where to focus our energies, where to focus our assets, where to focus our resources.”…
“John Kasich made the decision, in his own political self-interest, to withdraw from Indiana and to go compete elsewhere,” Mr. Cruz said, while continuing to campaign in the state six days before its primary. “And that was a perfectly reasonable decision.”
Mr. Cruz did not answer questions about whether he was similarly pulling out of Oregon, which votes on May 17, or Oregon, which votes on June 7.
It’s becoming more likely that Donald Trump will clinch the nomination before the convention. As the Gateway Pundit shows using the current delegate math:
Based on current delegate counts Trump could win all the delegates in the elections between now and June 7thand will still not have quite enough to win the nomination before June 7.
However, Trump has a tremendous amount of momentum and will likely win most of the upcoming delegates.
It’s clear that Trump will win the nomination outright on June 7th.
Trump could lose 8 of the 10 remaining states (Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota) and still win the nomination outright with wins in New Jersey and California and good showings in the states that award delegates proportionally.
It is very clear that Trump will win the nomination on June 7th with more than 1,237 delegates even if Cruz wins several states before the June primaries.
The race isn’t over for a few more months, but unless an act of God intervenes, this race is safe to call.
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